Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000684 0.000775 0.000873 0.000983 0.001104 0.001232 0.001379
2025-11-23 0.000521 0.000645 0.000785 0.000954 0.001151 0.001372 0.001638
2025-11-30 0.000441 0.000580 0.000744 0.000950 0.001200 0.001491 0.001852
2025-12-07 0.000382 0.000530 0.000712 0.000949 0.001246 0.001601 0.002055
2025-12-14 0.000332 0.000484 0.000678 0.000939 0.001275 0.001687 0.002225
2025-12-21 0.000290 0.000443 0.000644 0.000924 0.001293 0.001757 0.002376
2025-12-28 0.000268 0.000427 0.000643 0.000949 0.001362 0.001892 0.002609
2026-01-04 0.000247 0.000409 0.000635 0.000963 0.001416 0.002007 0.002820
2026-01-11 0.000221 0.000382 0.000612 0.000955 0.001439 0.002079 0.002975
2026-01-18 0.000198 0.000355 0.000589 0.000944 0.001454 0.002142 0.003117
2026-01-25 0.000183 0.000341 0.000580 0.000953 0.001497 0.002242 0.003311
2026-02-01 0.000168 0.000324 0.000568 0.000955 0.001530 0.002329 0.003488
2026-02-08 0.000146 0.000296 0.000535 0.000925 0.001516 0.002348 0.003575
2026-02-15 0.000129 0.000272 0.000508 0.000901 0.001509 0.002378 0.003676
2026-02-22 0.000117 0.000257 0.000494 0.000897 0.001530 0.002448 0.003834
2026-03-01 0.000107 0.000244 0.000483 0.000896 0.001556 0.002525 0.004002
2026-03-08 0.000097 0.000229 0.000467 0.000886 0.001566 0.002578 0.004138
2026-03-15 0.000086 0.000214 0.000449 0.000872 0.001569 0.002620 0.004256
2026-03-22 0.000083 0.000212 0.000453 0.000895 0.001633 0.002754 0.004513
2026-03-29 0.000078 0.000207 0.000452 0.000909 0.001681 0.002865 0.004737
2026-04-05 0.000071 0.000195 0.000439 0.000902 0.001693 0.002922 0.004882
2026-04-12 0.000064 0.000184 0.000425 0.000891 0.001699 0.002968 0.005012
2026-04-19 0.000060 0.000178 0.000422 0.000899 0.001738 0.003066 0.005220